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J1 League | Gameweek 27
Aug 16, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Sapporo Atsubetsu Park Stadium

Consadole
5 - 3
Sagan Tosu

Sarachart (10'), Komai (11', 16'), Harada (70' og.), Bakayoko (89' pen.)
Aoki (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Fukuta (57'), Kubo (60'), Sakaiya (77')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 10 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawSagan Tosu
47.11% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 24.26% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 28.63% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.29% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)44.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.3% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)19.2% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)50.88% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 47.12%
    Sagan Tosu 28.63%
    Draw 24.26%
Consadole SapporoDrawSagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 47.12%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 28.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 10 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, August 10 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 3-2 Consadole
Wednesday, August 7 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 3-4 Consadole
Saturday, July 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Urawa
Sunday, August 11 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-0 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-4 Hiroshima
Sunday, July 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, July 14 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-4 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-1 Sagan Tosu
Wednesday, July 3 at 11am in J1 League


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