Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Machida Zelvia
39.88% ( 0.03)	23.97% ( -0.02)	36.15% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.48% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.19% (

0.06)

40.8% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.81% (

0.06)

63.19% (

-0.06)

Consadole Sapporo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

0.04)

20.66% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

0.06)

53.24% (

-0.06)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.02)

22.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

0.03)

56.07% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Consadole Sapporo 39.88%

Machida Zelvia 36.15%

Draw 23.96%

Consadole Sapporo	Draw	Machida Zelvia
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.88%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.15%