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Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 13, 2024 at 2pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground

Crystal Palace
0 - 1
Brighton


Green (16'), Gejl (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vilamala Costa (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 0-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, October 6 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Crystal Palace Women 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Palace would have taken confidence from their win over Leicester, but they will face a tougher test against a Brighton side that has high expectations for this season. The Seagulls have showcased their cutting edge in front of goal, and we think that they will produce another strong attacking display to take three points from Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Women win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Women would win this match.

Result
Crystal Palace WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
44.15% (0.896 0.9) 23.65% (0.0020000000000024 0) 32.2% (-0.901 -0.9)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.383 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.68% (-0.343 -0.34)40.31% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.31% (-0.354 -0.35)62.69% (0.352 0.35)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.43% (0.23399999999999 0.23)18.57% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.16% (0.39599999999999 0.4)49.84% (-0.398 -0.4)
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52% (-0.691 -0.69)24.48% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07% (-0.979 -0.98)58.93% (0.977 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace Women 44.15%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 32.2%
    Draw 23.65%
Crystal Palace WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.069 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.15%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.55% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-1 @ 6.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.99% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leicester 0-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, October 6 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-7 Chelsea
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 4-0 Crystal Palace
Sunday, September 22 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 4-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, October 5 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Brighton
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Everton
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Brighton
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 4 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Brighton
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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