SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
17.9% ( 0.91) | 19.02% ( 1.22) | 63.08% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 61.84% ( -2.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.35% ( -4.41) | 32.66% ( 4.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.68% ( -5.28) | 54.33% ( 5.28) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( -1.85) | 31.34% ( 1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.3% ( -2.2) | 67.71% ( 2.2) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.07% ( -1.7) | 9.94% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.13% ( -4.08) | 32.88% ( 4.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.65)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.32% Total : 17.9% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.94) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.69)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.31% Total : 19.02% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.73)1-3 @ 7.41% ( -0.28)0-1 @ 7.19% ( 1.13)0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.4)1-4 @ 4.28% ( -0.52)0-4 @ 3.69% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.45)1-5 @ 1.98% ( -0.42)0-5 @ 1.7% ( -0.26)2-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.32)3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.08% |
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