Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitatea Craiova win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for SSC Farul had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitatea Craiova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a SSC Farul win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
