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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSC Farul win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSC Farul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SSC Farul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SSC Farul | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
44.16% ( 0.2) | 25.41% ( -0.07) | 30.42% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.52% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( 0.21) | 49.06% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0.19) | 71.13% ( -0.2) |
| SSC Farul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( 0.19) | 22.17% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( 0.28) | 55.57% ( -0.28) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.01) | 29.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.96% ( 0.01) | 66.04% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSC Farul | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.42% |
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