Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Brest win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Brest would win this match.
