Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Brest win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Brest would win this match.