The Maracana is one of the most intimidating environments to play in, and we believe that will be too much for Sampaio to handle, allowing Fluzao to win handily.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 68.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sampaio Correa had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Sampaio Correa win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Fluminense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.