The Maracana can be an intimidating venue for visiting teams, and Fluminense have used that to their advantage throughout this tournament. While the Paraguayans are more than capable of defending for long stretches, so are Fluzao, but the difference is that the Brazilians have more quality players who can create chances in transition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fluminense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fluminense.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Cerro Porteno
61.17% ( 0)	20.78%	18.05%

Both teams to score 55.63% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.15% (

40.84% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.76% (

63.23% (

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

12.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.7% (

39.3% (

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86% (

36.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08%

72.92% (

Score Analysis

Fluminense 61.17%

Cerro Porteno 18.05%

Draw 20.78%

Fluminense	Draw	Cerro Porteno
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.8% 3-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.47% Total : 61.17%	1-1 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 5.06% 0-0 @ 4.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 4.94% 0-1 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.56% Total : 18.05%