SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Yeovil Town |
39.43% ( 0.03) | 27.32% ( -0.01) | 33.25% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.09% ( 0.03) | 55.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( 0.02) | 77.01% ( -0.02) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 0.03) | 27.68% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.77% ( 0.04) | 63.23% ( -0.03) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( 0) | 31.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.15% | 67.85% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.24% |
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