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National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
The New Lawn

Forest Green
2 - 0
York City

Bunker (64'), McAllister (83')
McCann (20'), Long (53'), Bunker (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aguiar (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: York City 5-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in National League

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 York City

These two teams are ahead in the title race for good reason. Although both sides are strong in defence, their ability to score goals should make this an entertaining game, and we think it will be a 2-2 draw here, with little to separate the sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawYork City
44.55% (-0.105 -0.1) 25.21% (0.0019999999999989 0) 30.24% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.11% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.74% (0.037999999999997 0.04)48.26% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)70.41% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.34% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)21.66% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.2% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)54.8% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.35% (0.088999999999999 0.09)29.65% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (0.108 0.11)65.7% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 44.55%
    York City 30.24%
    Draw 25.21%
Forest Green RoversDrawYork City
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 30.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-4 Forest Green
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 3-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Braintree
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 2-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: York City 5-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Wycombe 3-2 York City
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Halifax 1-2 York City
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 3-1 Barnet
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: York City 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Biggleswade 1-3 York City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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