SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | York City |
44.55% ( -0.1) | 25.21% ( 0) | 30.24% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( 0.04) | 48.26% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( 0.03) | 70.41% ( -0.04) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( -0.03) | 21.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.2% ( -0.05) | 54.8% ( 0.05) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( 0.09) | 29.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% ( 0.11) | 65.7% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.24% |
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