SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fredrikstad | Draw | SK Brann |
26.96% ( -0.94) | 24.76% ( -0.19) | 48.27% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( 0.18) | 48.24% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( 0.16) | 70.39% ( -0.17) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -0.63) | 32.05% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% ( -0.71) | 68.51% ( 0.71) |
| SK Brann Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( 0.55) | 20.03% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% ( 0.88) | 52.24% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fredrikstad | Draw | SK Brann |
| 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.96% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.84% Total : 48.27% |
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