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Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
1 - 1
Brann

Olusanya (90')
Fraser (8'), Mandron (36'), Balcombe (48'), Taylor (66'), Gogic (82'), Olusanya (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Myhre (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Hibernian
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Stromsgodset 2-3 Brann
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: St Mirren 1-3 SK Brann

While St Mirren will be desperate to make home advantage count and take a lead into next week's away trip, we do not see them having the quality to match their Norwegian visitors and anticipate an away victory in Paisley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawSK Brann
27.76% (0.043000000000003 0.04) 23.19% (0.035 0.04) 49.04% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.38% (-0.131 -0.13)40.62% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (-0.134 -0.13)63% (0.131 0.13)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)27.49% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)62.98% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)16.77% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.141 -0.14)46.72% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 27.76%
    SK Brann 49.04%
    Draw 23.19%
St MirrenDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 49.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Hibernian
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 4-1 Valur
Thursday, August 1 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Valur 0-0 St Mirren
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Carlisle
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Celtic 3-2 St Mirren
Saturday, May 18 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Stromsgodset 2-3 Brann
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Thursday, August 1 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 0-0 Brann
Thursday, July 25 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-1 Brann
Saturday, July 20 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 1-1 Haugesund
Saturday, July 13 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 5-1 Brann
Sunday, July 7 at 1.30pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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