SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
44.06% ( -0.06) | 23.69% ( 0.01) | 32.25% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.38% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( -0.05) | 40.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% ( -0.05) | 62.84% ( 0.05) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.33% ( -0.05) | 18.67% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50% ( -0.08) | 50% ( 0.08) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( 0) | 24.52% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( 0) | 58.99% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 3.49% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.25% |
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