SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 21.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Djurgardens IF win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
55.97% ( 0.09) | 22.49% ( -0.04) | 21.54% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.74% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( 0.09) | 43.53% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( 0.09) | 65.92% ( -0.09) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( 0.06) | 15.39% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.8% ( 0.12) | 44.2% ( -0.12) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.88% ( -0) | 34.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.19% ( -0) | 70.81% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.97% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 21.54% |
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