SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
42.78% ( -0.54) | 25.45% ( 0.11) | 31.76% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.32) | 48.69% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.29) | 70.8% ( 0.29) |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -0.39) | 22.67% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( -0.59) | 56.32% ( 0.59) |
| Maccabi Haifa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0.12) | 28.84% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( 0.15) | 64.7% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Maccabi Haifa |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.77% |
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