Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Hapoel Petah Tikva had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Hapoel Petah Tikva win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Hapoel Petah Tikva	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
35.19% ( -0.07)	27.18% ( 0.02)	37.63% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.86% (

-0.1)

55.13% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.62% (

-0.08)

76.38% (

0.08)

Hapoel Petah Tikva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.18% (

-0.09)

29.82% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-0.11)

65.9% (

0.11)

Beitar Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

-0.02)

28.34% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.92% (

-0.02)

64.07% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Petah Tikva 35.18%

Beitar Jerusalem 37.62%

Draw 27.18%

Hapoel Petah Tikva	Draw	Beitar Jerusalem
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.18%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 37.62%