Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
41.98% ( 0.33) | 27.48% ( -0.05) | 30.53% ( -0.29) |
Both teams to score 48.22% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.79% ( 0.08) | 57.2% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.94% ( 0.07) | 78.06% ( -0.07) |
Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( 0.22) | 26.88% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.8% ( 0.28) | 62.2% ( -0.29) |
Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.95% ( -0.17) | 34.05% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.27% ( -0.18) | 70.73% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2% Total : 41.98% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.53% |
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