Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.
Result | ||
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Viktoria Plzen |
36.37% ( -0.24) | 25.47% ( 0.12) | 38.15% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.14% ( -0.57) | 47.86% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.96% ( -0.53) | 70.04% ( 0.53) |
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( -0.4) | 25.62% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% ( -0.55) | 60.52% ( 0.55) |
Viktoria Plzen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.35% ( -0.2) | 24.65% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.83% ( -0.28) | 59.17% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Viktoria Plzen |
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.15% |
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