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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Shakhty Zhovtneva

Kryvbas Kryvyi
1 - 2
Plzen

Kwabena Adu (20')
Kwabena Adu (17'), Dibango (63'), Vakulko (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maxim Panos (48'), Vasulin (69')
Maxim Panos (32'), Vasulin (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Jablonec 0-0 Plzen
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Czech Liga

We said: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1-3 Viktoria Plzen

The visitors have much more experience competing in Europe than their hosts and have started the season in a positive manner, while the visitors are likely to be nervous ahead of their European debut, suggesting Plzen will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.

Result
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawViktoria Plzen
36.37% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24) 25.47% (0.123 0.12) 38.15% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-0.449 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (-0.57100000000001 -0.57)47.86% (0.573 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (-0.529 -0.53)70.04% (0.52800000000001 0.53)
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (-0.402 -0.4)25.62% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.55 -0.55)60.52% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.196 -0.2)24.65% (0.197 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-0.276 -0.28)59.17% (0.277 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 36.37%
    Viktoria Plzen 38.15%
    Draw 25.47%
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDrawViktoria Plzen
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.105 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.37%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.148 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.159 0.16)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.19% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 3-4 Caykur Rizespor
Tuesday, July 23 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 2
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 1-1 Al Bataeh
Saturday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-2 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 3-0 Minai
Saturday, May 25 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 3-1 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Saturday, May 18 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Jablonec 0-0 Plzen
Saturday, August 3 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Plzen 1-0 Hradec Kralove
Sunday, July 28 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Dukla Prague 1-3 Plzen
Saturday, July 20 at 7pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-1 Plzen
Sunday, May 26 at 3pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Plzen 1-1 Banik Ostrava
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Czech Liga
Last Game: Slavia Prague 3-0 Plzen
Wednesday, May 15 at 6.30pm in Czech Liga


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