Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Kadir Has Sehir Stadi
We said: Kayserispor 1-0 Samsunspor
Samsunspor have more than held their own since returning to the top flight, but a lack of experience at this level has cost them at times. We are backing Kayserispor to come out on top here, leaving their visitors still in search of a first win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
| Result |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Samsunspor |
36.32% ( -0.16) | 25.95% ( 0.13) | 37.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( -0.44) |
| 50.03% ( -0.56) | 49.97% ( 0.56) |
| 28.05% ( -0.5) | 71.95% ( 0.5) |
| 73.35% ( -0.35) | 26.65% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.11% ( -0.47) | 61.89% ( 0.47) |
| 74.15% ( -0.24) | 25.85% ( 0.24) |
