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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 2-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Galatasaray |
20.57% ( 0.09) | 21.43% ( 0.05) | 58% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60% ( -0.14) | 40% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( -0.14) | 62.36% ( 0.14) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( 0) | 33.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( 0) | 69.63% ( -0.01) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( -0.09) | 13.56% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.34% ( -0.18) | 40.65% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 20.57% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.43% | 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 58% |
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