With Molde holding both the home advantage and a perceived stronger squad heading into this second qualifying round first leg, the hosts are strong favourites to win the tie, and we expect them to get off to the ideal start with a victory here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.57%. A win for Silkeborg had a probability of 20.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Silkeborg win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
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