Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Spain Under-19s | 3 | 6 | 7 |
2 | Norway Under-19s | 3 | 1 | 5 |
3 | Iceland Under-19s | 3 | -1 | 2 |
4 | Greece Under-19s | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Under-19s win with a probability of 75.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Northern Ireland Under-19s had a probability of 9.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Northern Ireland Under-19s win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Norway Under-19s in this match.
Result | ||
Norway Under-19s | Draw | Northern Ireland Under-19s |
75.52% ( -2.47) | 14.66% ( 1.46) | 9.82% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -2.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.21% ( -4.31) | 30.79% ( 4.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.86% ( -5.31) | 52.14% ( 5.31) |
Norway Under-19s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.2% ( -1.36) | 6.8% ( 1.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.92% ( -3.8) | 25.08% ( 3.8) |
Northern Ireland Under-19s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.63% ( -1.28) | 41.37% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.12% ( -1.15) | 77.88% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Norway Under-19s | Draw | Northern Ireland Under-19s |
2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.92) 3-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.52) 3-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 1.21) 4-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.41) 4-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.51) 5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.57) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.34) 6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.37) 6-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.38) 5-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.31) Other @ 3.96% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.63) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.66% | 1-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.29) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.13% Total : 9.82% |
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