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European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
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Norway U19s
2 - 0
N. Ireland U19s

Braut (34', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Glenfield (56'), Doherty (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Norway U19s 0-0 Ukraine U19s
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 0-3 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 18 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship

We said: Norway Under-19s 2-0 Northern Ireland Under-19s

Despite having home advantage on their side, Northern Ireland may exit the Under-19 Euros at the group stage: the hosts pose little threat in the final third and can be caught out at the back, so Norway should win and have a good shot at going through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Under-19s win with a probability of 75.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Northern Ireland Under-19s had a probability of 9.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway Under-19s win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Northern Ireland Under-19s win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Norway Under-19s in this match.

Result
Norway Under-19sDrawNorthern Ireland Under-19s
75.52% (-2.474 -2.47) 14.66% (1.463 1.46) 9.82% (1.011 1.01)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-2.008 -2.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.21% (-4.312 -4.31)30.79% (4.312 4.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.86% (-5.311 -5.31)52.14% (5.311 5.31)
Norway Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.2% (-1.36 -1.36)6.8% (1.361 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.92% (-3.803 -3.8)25.08% (3.803 3.8)
Northern Ireland Under-19s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.63% (-1.279 -1.28)41.37% (1.278 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.12% (-1.149 -1.15)77.88% (1.15 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Norway Under-19s 75.52%
    Northern Ireland Under-19s 9.82%
    Draw 14.66%
Norway Under-19sDrawNorthern Ireland Under-19s
2-0 @ 10.16% (0.917 0.92)
3-0 @ 9.11% (0.138 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.523 0.52)
3-1 @ 8.04% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.56% (1.213 1.21)
4-0 @ 6.12% (-0.407 -0.41)
4-1 @ 5.4% (-0.565 -0.57)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.199 -0.2)
5-0 @ 3.29% (-0.51 -0.51)
5-1 @ 2.91% (-0.57 -0.57)
4-2 @ 2.39% (-0.342 -0.34)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.37 -0.37)
6-1 @ 1.3% (-0.384 -0.38)
5-2 @ 1.28% (-0.306 -0.31)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 75.52%
1-1 @ 6.67% (0.871 0.87)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.098 0.1)
0-0 @ 2.81% (0.632 0.63)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.66%
1-2 @ 2.95% (0.293 0.29)
0-1 @ 2.48% (0.49 0.49)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.1% (0.185 0.19)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 9.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Norway U19s 0-0 Ukraine U19s
Thursday, July 18 at 3.30pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Italy U19s 2-1 Norway U19s
Monday, July 15 at 3.30pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Portugal U19s 5-0 Norway U19s
Thursday, July 13 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Spain U19s 0-0 Norway U19s
Monday, July 10 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Iceland U19s 1-1 Norway U19s
Friday, July 7 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: Norway U19s 5-4 Greece U19s
Tuesday, July 4 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 0-3 Italy U19s
Thursday, July 18 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 0-0 Ukraine U19s
Monday, July 15 at 7pm in European Under-19s Championship
Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 1-1 Germany U19s
Monday, November 18 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 0-3 Norway U19s
Tuesday, November 12 at 5.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 4-0 Faroe Islands U19s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Ireland U19s 4-1 Slovakia U19s
Friday, September 7 at 2pm in International Friendlies


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