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National League | Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Boundary Park
BW

Oldham
2 - 1
Boreham Wood

Fondop (62'), Garner (81')
Conlon (54'), Garner (60'), Kitching (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sagaf (30')
Ashmore (72'), Marsh (77'), Marsh (78'), Sass-Davies (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Oldham
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League

We said: Oldham Athletic 2-1 Boreham Wood

Boreham have a lot of quality in the final third of the field, and we are expecting them to score on Tuesday, but Oldham have home advantage, and we are backing the Latics to collect all three points in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Oldham Athletic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oldham Athletic.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawBoreham Wood
45.7% (-0.07 -0.07) 25.67% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 28.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.67% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49% (0.124 0.12)51% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (0.108 0.11)72.87% (-0.113 -0.11)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (0.018999999999991 0.02)22.29% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (0.031999999999996 0.03)55.75% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (0.128 0.13)32.22% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (0.146 0.15)68.71% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 45.7%
    Boreham Wood 28.63%
    Draw 25.66%
Oldham AthleticDrawBoreham Wood
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Oldham
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 0-1 Woking
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-0 Barnet
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-1 Oldham
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 0-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-3 Dorking
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 4-4 Eastleigh
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 2-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 York City
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in National League


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