SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
40.67% ( -0.06) | 23.42% ( -0.07) | 35.91% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 63.5% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.84% ( 0.37) | 38.16% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.57% ( 0.39) | 60.43% ( -0.39) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( 0.12) | 19.17% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( 0.21) | 50.84% ( -0.22) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( 0.23) | 21.43% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.56% ( 0.36) | 54.44% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.91% |
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