Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Stelios Kyriakides
Form, Standings, Stats
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
We said: Pafos FC 2-1 Elfsborg (Elfsborg win 4-2 on aggregate)
Pafos need to score three goals without reply just to take the game into extra time, but we cannot envisage such a scenario given that Elfsborg have netted 11 times in their last three matches.
The Yellow Ones are not amazing on the road typically and could lose on the night, but the Swedes have a large enough lead on aggregate to cruise into the next stage.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result |
| Pafos FC | Draw | Elfsborg |
28.77% ( 0.02) | 23.16% ( 0) | 48.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( 0) |
| 60.21% | 39.79% ( 0.01) |
| 37.85% ( -0) | 62.14% ( 0.01) |
| 73.63% ( 0.02) | 26.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.47% ( 0.02) | 61.52% ( -0.01) |
| 83.17% ( -0.01) | 16.82% ( 0.01) |
