SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Petrolul 52 win with a probability of 45.63%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Petrolul 52 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Petrolul 52 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Petrolul 52 | Draw | CSM Iasi |
45.63% ( -0.6) | 26.65% ( 0.21) | 27.72% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( -0.57) | 55.33% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( -0.47) | 76.54% ( 0.47) |
| Petrolul 52 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( -0.53) | 24.18% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( -0.76) | 58.51% ( 0.77) |
| CSM Iasi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% ( 0.02) | 35.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.03% ( 0.02) | 71.97% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Petrolul 52 | Draw | CSM Iasi |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 45.62% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.64% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.07% Total : 27.72% |
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