Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for CSM Iasi had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest CSM Iasi win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FCSB would win this match.
Result | ||
CSM Iasi | Draw | FCSB |
31.36% ( 0.11) | 25.8% ( 0.02) | 42.84% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 53.7% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% ( -0.03) | 50.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% ( -0.02) | 72.27% ( 0.03) |
CSM Iasi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.07% ( 0.06) | 29.93% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.96% ( 0.07) | 66.04% ( -0.07) |
FCSB Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.64% ( -0.07) | 23.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% ( -0.1) | 57.32% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
CSM Iasi | Draw | FCSB |
1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.83% |
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