With home advantage during the first leg, Raith will be desperate to take the lead in the tie ahead of a second-leg jaunt to the Highlands at Sunday lunchtime.
Ross County have sleepwalked into this position, and supporters will be in for a rude awakening if they think the Staggies will breeze past their second-tier opponents on Thursday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
