With home advantage during the first leg, Raith will be desperate to take the lead in the tie ahead of a second-leg jaunt to the Highlands at Sunday lunchtime. Ross County have sleepwalked into this position, and supporters will be in for a rude awakening if they think the Staggies will breeze past their second-tier opponents on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Ross County
54.19%	23.69%	22.12%

Both teams to score 52.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.93%

48.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.77%

70.23%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36%

17.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.76%

48.24%

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.88%

36.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.09%

72.9%

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 54.18%

Ross County 22.12%

Draw 23.69%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Ross County
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 9.59% 3-1 @ 5.65% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 2.45% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.18%	1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.69%	0-1 @ 6.49% 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.3% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.12%