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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
32.62% ( -0.09) | 25.72% ( 0.07) | 41.65% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.42% ( -0.31) | 49.57% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( -0.28) | 71.6% ( 0.28) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( -0.21) | 28.72% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( -0.26) | 64.55% ( 0.26) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.13) | 23.61% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.31% ( -0.18) | 57.69% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.62% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.65% |
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