SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 52.27%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosenborg | Draw | Fredrikstad |
52.27% ( 0.07) | 23.23% ( -0) | 24.5% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.03% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% ( -0.05) | 43.59% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% ( -0.05) | 65.98% ( 0.05) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( 0.01) | 16.7% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.42% ( 0.01) | 46.58% ( -0) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.08) | 31.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.06% ( -0.09) | 67.94% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosenborg | Draw | Fredrikstad |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.27% | 1-1 @ 10.87% 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 24.5% |
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