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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fredrikstad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Stromsgodset |
41.67% ( 0.16) | 26.03% ( -0) | 32.3% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% ( -0.04) | 50.98% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( -0.03) | 72.85% ( 0.03) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.06) | 24.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( 0.09) | 58.57% ( -0.09) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( -0.13) | 29.63% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( -0.15) | 65.67% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Stromsgodset |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.3% |
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