SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 58.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rotherham United | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
58.68% ( 0.11) | 20.7% ( 0.01) | 20.62% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.54% ( -0.21) | 36.46% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.4% ( -0.23) | 58.6% ( 0.23) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.78% ( -0.03) | 12.23% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.08% ( -0.07) | 37.92% ( 0.07) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( -0.23) | 30.95% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( -0.27) | 67.25% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rotherham United | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 4.22% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 20.62% |
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