Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
