With Rouen having recently impressed either side of the Christmas and New Year period, this will not be a routine win for Toulouse. Nevertheless, we expect the visitors to run out victors in the end, potentially with a goal in each half.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Rouen had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Rouen win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.4) 
