Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Tromso IL in this match.
Result | ||
Sandefjord | Draw | Tromso IL |
39.47% ( -1.76) | 24.84% ( 0.13) | 35.69% ( 1.63) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55% ( -0.29) | 44.99% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.65% ( -0.28) | 67.35% ( 0.28) |
Sandefjord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( -0.99) | 22.68% ( 0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% ( -1.48) | 56.33% ( 1.48) |
Tromso IL Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.32% ( 0.8) | 24.68% ( -0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.79% ( 1.1) | 59.21% ( -1.11) |
Score Analysis |
Sandefjord | Draw | Tromso IL |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.47% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.69% |
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