SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 63.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.08%) and 3-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Tromso IL |
63.01% ( 0.25) | 18.91% ( -0.07) | 18.08% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 62.66% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.23% ( 0.03) | 31.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.7% ( 0.03) | 53.3% ( -0.03) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.3% ( 0.06) | 9.7% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.67% ( 0.16) | 32.33% ( -0.16) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.39% ( -0.17) | 30.61% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.15% ( -0.2) | 66.84% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 3.79% Total : 63.01% | 1-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.91% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.48% Total : 18.08% |
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