SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 67.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
67.77% ( 0.03) | 18.35% ( 0.03) | 13.88% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.33% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.21% ( -0.27) | 37.79% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.96% ( -0.29) | 60.03% ( 0.29) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.77% ( -0.07) | 10.22% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.46% ( -0.15) | 33.54% ( 0.15) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( -0.25) | 39.48% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( -0.24) | 76.17% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.74% Total : 67.77% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.35% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 13.88% |
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