SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
51.76% ( -1) | 22.09% ( 0.34) | 26.16% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 62.85% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.31% ( -1.04) | 36.69% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.15% ( -1.14) | 58.85% ( 1.14) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.6% ( -0.68) | 14.4% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.7% ( -1.34) | 42.3% ( 1.34) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.08) | 26.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( -0.11) | 61.79% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.4% Total : 51.76% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.16% |
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