SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
37.66% ( 0.15) | 25.17% ( 0.16) | 37.18% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.77) | 46.43% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.73) | 68.71% ( 0.73) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( -0.27) | 24.26% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( -0.38) | 58.63% ( 0.38) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( -0.52) | 24.52% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.01% ( -0.74) | 58.99% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.66% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.18% |
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