SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
46.83% ( -0.34) | 24.43% ( 0.62) | 28.74% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.78% ( -2.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( -2.96) | 45.65% ( 2.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( -2.89) | 67.97% ( 2.88) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( -1.31) | 19.59% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.47% ( -2.18) | 51.53% ( 2.18) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( -1.71) | 29.38% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.64% ( -2.14) | 65.36% ( 2.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sirius | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.04% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.7)2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.55) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.74% |
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