Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTA Arad win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Sepsi had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a UTA Arad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Sepsi win was 0-1 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UTA Arad would win this match.