SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSM Iasi win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for UTA Arad had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSM Iasi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest UTA Arad win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSM Iasi in this match.
| Result | ||
| CSM Iasi | Draw | UTA Arad |
38.59% ( -0.04) | 26.26% ( -0.02) | 35.15% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.25% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( 0.09) | 51.38% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( 0.08) | 73.19% ( -0.07) |
| CSM Iasi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( 0.02) | 26.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( 0.03) | 61.06% ( -0.02) |
| UTA Arad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( 0.08) | 28.01% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( 0.09) | 63.66% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSM Iasi | Draw | UTA Arad |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.59% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.15% |
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