Under-20s World Cup | Round of 16
May 30, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
We said: Uzbekistan Under-20s 1-1 Israel Under-20s (a.e.t, Israel to win on penalties)
There was barely anything to separate Uzbekistan and Israel during their average group-stage runs, with both sides securing four points and conceding four goals, and a closely-fought last-16 affair should transpire on Tuesday night.
It is nigh-on impossible to pick a clear winner over 90 or 120 minutes, but with Israel's prospects brimming with big-game experience from their run to the Under-19 Euros final last year, Haim's side can hold their nerve from 12 yards to advance to the quarters and send Uzbekistan packing.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-20s win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Israel Under-20s had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Israel Under-20s win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| Uzbekistan Under-20s | Draw | Israel Under-20s |
63.58% ( -0.31) | 22.22% ( 0.04) | 14.2% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 42.78% ( 0.53) |
| 46.34% ( 0.36) | 53.66% ( -0.36) |
| 24.84% ( 0.3) | 75.15% ( -0.3) |
| Uzbekistan Under-20s Goals |
| 83.67% ( 0.02) | 16.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.08% ( 0.04) | 45.92% ( -0.03) |
| 51.13% ( 0.63) | 48.87% ( -0.63) |
