SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 47.96%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasteras SK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
47.96% ( -0.07) | 24.31% ( 0) | 27.73% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.24% ( 0.04) | 45.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( 0.04) | 68.07% ( -0.04) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( -0.01) | 19.17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% ( -0.02) | 50.84% ( 0.02) |
| Mjallby AIF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.84% ( 0.08) | 30.16% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( 0.09) | 66.31% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Mjallby AIF |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 47.96% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 27.73% |
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