SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 16.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Vasteras SK win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Vasteras SK |
64.98% ( 0.06) | 18.85% ( -0.03) | 16.17% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.79% ( 0.07) | 35.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.78% ( 0.08) | 57.21% ( -0.08) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% ( 0.03) | 10.2% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.52% ( 0.08) | 33.47% ( -0.08) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( 0.01) | 34.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( 0.01) | 71.59% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Vasteras SK |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 4.14% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.85% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 16.17% |
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