SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Veres win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Veres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Veres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Veres | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
41.76% ( -0.12) | 27.54% ( -0.02) | 30.7% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.63% ( 0.13) | 57.37% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.81% ( 0.11) | 78.19% ( -0.11) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0) | 27.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0) | 62.46% ( 0) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.18) | 34.02% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.3% ( 0.19) | 70.7% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Veres | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.76% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.53% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 30.7% |
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