Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
0) 
-0) 
