Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
20.33% ( 0) | 24.13% | 55.54% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 48.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% ( -0) | 51.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% | 73.61% ( -0) |
Obolon Kyiv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.92% ( 0) | 40.07% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.28% ( 0) | 76.72% ( -0) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.45% ( -0) | 18.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.2% ( -0) | 49.79% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1-0 @ 6.8% 2-1 @ 5.24% 2-0 @ 3.11% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.34% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.33% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 12.52% 0-2 @ 10.55% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 5.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-4 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.54% |
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